09.14.2010 Policy Points

Why Did the Stimulus Run Out of Steam?

In a recent column in The Nation, Thomas Geoghegan argues that the trade deficit helps explain why the stimulus “ran out of steam.”

When we have a big trade deficit, the feds can’t run up a debt just to re-employ Americans. As long as we’ve so much trade debt, we have to figure that a distressing amount of any stimulus will go ultimately to re-employ the workers in China, Brazil, Japan and even Europe, who fill the gap between the “demand” we pump up and what we actually “supply.” When we have a big trade deficit, it means that the more we prime the pump, the more we drain out this distressing amount of our national wealth.

And why else did the stimulus run out of steam?

It was probably not big enough, but an even bigger one might have run out of steam. The bigger the trade debt, the less punch there is in running up a deficit. You can’t just blame the GOP for cutting the stimulus down.

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