Policy Points

14.10.2010 Policy Points Comments Off on NC Unemployment Claims: Week of 9/25

NC Unemployment Claims: Week of 9/25

For the benefit week ending on September 25th, 11,217 North Carolinians filed initial claims for state unemployment insurance benefits, and 114,693 individuals applied for state-funded continuing benefits. Compared to the prior week, there were more initial and fewer continuing claims. These figures come from data released by the U.S. Department of Labor.

Averaging new and continuing claims over a four-week period — a process that helps adjust for seasonal fluctuations and better illustrates trends — shows that an average of 11,815 initial claims were filed over the previous four weeks, along with an average of 117,760 continuing claims. Compared to the previous four-week period, there were fewer initial and continuing claims.

One year ago, the four-week average for initial claims stood at 16,785 and the four-week average of continuing claims equaled 185,522.

While the number of claims has dropped over the past year, so has covered employment. Last week, covered employment totaled 3.8 million, down from 4 million a year ago.

The graph (right) shows the changes in unemployment insurance claims (as a share of covered employment) in North Carolina since the recession’s start in December 2007.

Both new and continuing claims appear to have peaked for this business cycle, and the four-week averages of new and continuing claims have fallen considerably. Yet continuing claims remain at an elevated level, which suggests that unemployed individuals are finding it difficult to find new positions.

Also, little change has occurred within recent months. Since April 2010, the four-week average of initial claims consistently has ranged between 13,987 and 11,200.

14.10.2010 Policy Points Comments Off on North Carolina’s EITC: 2008 Data

North Carolina’s EITC: 2008 Data

A recent research brief from the N.C. Budget and Tax Center finds that the state’s Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) boosted the incomes of some 800,000 families by a total of $59 million in 2008, the credit’s first year of existence.

Click here to view the brief and a county-by-county listing of benefits.

13.10.2010 Policy Points Comments Off on Around The Dial – Oct. 13

Around The Dial – Oct. 13

Economic policy reports, blog postings, and media stories of interest:

13.10.2010 News Releases, Policy Points Comments Off on Is Structural Unemployment NC’s Problem?

Is Structural Unemployment NC’s Problem?

Last week, the WUNC radio program The State of Things devoted an entire episode to a discussion of North Carolina’s labor market. In the show’s second half, several speakers and callers claimed that the high level of joblessness affecting the state stems from a lack of workers qualified to hold available jobs.

The only problem with this reasonable-sounding argument is the lack of evidence to support it.

Labor economists argue that there are two broad kinds of unemployment: structural and cyclical. Think of structural unemployment as a supply shortage: jobs exist, but workers are not available to fill them, perhaps because they lack the requisite skills or perhaps because they live in the wrong place. Cyclical employment, in contrast, may be thought of as a demand shortage: workers are available but employers are not hiring. (Note that a third kind of unemployment, frictional unemployment, which results from voluntary job changes, also exists.)

Both structural and cyclical factors drive unemployment at different points in time. And over the long term, significant structural changes have occurred within North Carolina’s economy. Federal trade policies, for instance, have facilitated the off-shoring of textile production previously done in the Tar Heel state. Similarly, a decline in traditional industries located in rural areas has occurred alongside the growth of newer industries located in metropolitan areas.

Despite those long-term structural changes, the downturn that started in December 2007 is very much a cyclical one. Put differently, employer demand for labor has collapsed due to drops in demand for goods and services. Three pieces of data support this claim. read more

12.10.2010 Policy Points Comments Off on Around The Dial – Oct. 12

Around The Dial – Oct. 12

Economic policy reports, blog postings, and media stories of interest: